Mbia Inc Stock Performance
| MBI Stock | USD 6.21 0.05 0.81% |
The firm secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 0.52, which conveys possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, MBIA's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding MBIA is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, MBIA Inc has a negative expected return of -0.27%. Please make sure to verify MBIA's kurtosis, and the relationship between the maximum drawdown and day median price , to decide if MBIA Inc performance from the past will be repeated in the future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days MBIA Inc has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite fragile performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental drivers remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The recent confusion may also be a sign of long-lasting up-swing for the firm traders. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 0.81 | Five Day Return 2.14 | Year To Date Return (10.26) | Ten Year Return (4.02) | All Time Return (15.28) |
Last Split Factor 3:2 | Dividend Date 2023-12-22 | Ex Dividend Date 2023-12-15 | Last Split Date 2001-04-23 |
1 | Market Recap Will MBIA Inc MBJ stock deliver stable dividends - 2025 Earnings Impact Proven Capital Preservation Tips - moha.gov.vn | 12/30/2025 |
2 | Acquisition by Christopher Young of 4402 shares of MBIA at 7.16 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/31/2025 |
3 | Weekly Recap Can MBIA Inc. stock stage a strong rebound this quarter - 2025 Key Highlights Weekly Chart Analysis and Trade Guides - ulpravda.ru | 01/08/2026 |
4 | Head-To-Head Comparison MetLife MBIA | 01/21/2026 |
5 | Acquisition by Richard Vaughan of 16502 shares of MBIA at 6.06 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/02/2026 |
6 | Acquisition by William Fallon of 286885 shares of MBIA at 5.49 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/10/2026 |
7 | Acquisition by Joseph Schachinger of 23184 shares of MBIA at 6.47 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/13/2026 |
8 | MBIA Inc. Investor Conference Call to Discuss Full Year and Fourth Quarter 2025 Financial Results Scheduled for Friday, February 27 at 800 A.M. Eastern Time | 02/20/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 108 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | 287 M |
MBIA Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 747.00 in MBIA Inc on November 23, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (126.00) from holding MBIA Inc or give up 16.87% of portfolio value over 90 days. MBIA Inc is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 2.6631% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 23% of stocks are less volatile than MBIA, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
MBIA Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of MBIA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 6.21 | 90 days | 6.21 | more than 93.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MBIA to move above the current price in 90 days from now is more than 93.0 (This MBIA Inc probability density function shows the probability of MBIA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
MBIA Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for MBIA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MBIA Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MBIA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MBIA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MBIA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MBIA Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MBIA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.34 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.52 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.52 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
MBIA Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MBIA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MBIA Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| MBIA Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| MBIA Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 42 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (441 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 110 M. | |
| MBIA Inc has about 84 M in cash with (176 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 12.13, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: MBIA Inc. Investor Conference Call to Discuss Full Year and Fourth Quarter 2025 Financial Results Scheduled for Friday, February 27 at 800 A.M. Eastern Time |
MBIA Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of MBIA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential MBIA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. MBIA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 47.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.5 B |
MBIA Fundamentals Growth
MBIA Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of MBIA, and MBIA fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on MBIA Stock performance.
| Return On Asset | 0.0082 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (1.90) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 2.87 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 3.58 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 50.49 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | (0.59) X | ||||
| Price To Book | 3.52 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 3.37 X | ||||
| Revenue | 42 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 110 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (232 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (441 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 84 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 12.13 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 3.22 B | ||||
| Current Ratio | 3.58 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | (43.18) X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (176 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (3.59) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 313.57 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 2.17 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (1.59 B) | ||||
About MBIA Performance
By evaluating MBIA's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into MBIA's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if MBIA has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if MBIA has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | -3.7 K | -3.8 K | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (0.24) | (0.22) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (0.23) | (0.22) | |
| Return On Assets | (0.24) | (0.22) | |
| Return On Equity | 0.24 | 0.26 |
Things to note about MBIA Inc performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about MBIA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for MBIA Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| MBIA Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| MBIA Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 42 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (441 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 110 M. | |
| MBIA Inc has about 84 M in cash with (176 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 12.13, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: MBIA Inc. Investor Conference Call to Discuss Full Year and Fourth Quarter 2025 Financial Results Scheduled for Friday, February 27 at 800 A.M. Eastern Time |
- Analyzing MBIA's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether MBIA's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining MBIA's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating MBIA's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of MBIA's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of MBIA's stock. These opinions can provide insight into MBIA's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for MBIA Stock analysis
When running MBIA's price analysis, check to measure MBIA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MBIA is operating at the current time. Most of MBIA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MBIA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MBIA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MBIA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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